The minimum wage is rightly seen as one of Labour’s proudest achievements. Not only was it a symbolic measure in the 1997 manifesto, the rate has been raised year-in-year-out so that it now amounts to 45% of the hourly earnings of a full time male worker. Now that times are hard it must not be allowed to wither on the vine. Instead Labour must ‘future proof’ the minimum wage by introducing a permanent system of annual up-rating.
There is no room for complacency with respect to low pay. Although the
Conservatives now endorse the principle of a minimum wage there is
nothing to stop them freezing it at today’s levels. In the United
States the federal rate stood at $5.15 for a decade until the Democrats
captured Congress in 2006. We need to supplement the Low Pay
Commission’s annual independent review with legislation that mandates
annual indexation.
Which index to choose? The most common basis for up-rating is either
inflation or average earnings. Indexing to average earnings makes
sense if the aim is to keep low paid workers in touch with the
mainstream. But why settle for that? With so much public unrest over
top rates of pay, why not set top earnings as the benchmark and turn
the Minimum Wage into a permanent mechanism for capping earnings
inequality?
This is not a radical proposal by the standards of the last decade. The
minimum wage has been raised by an average of three and a half per cent
each year, after inflation. That’s considerably more than increases in
90th percentile earnings, which in turn have been rising by more than
average earnings. Only the post-tax incomes of the richest one
thousandth of the population have been rising faster, at four percent
after inflation. But it is a radical policy because it is permanent. A
law linking low pay to high pay would draw a line in the sand on
earnings inequality: ‘thus far and no further’.
What about recession? Won’t this mean that the lowest paid are priced
out of work? No, because it is during recessions that top pay stalls
and inequality subsides. Indeed the new system could use times of
crisis to close the earnings gap for good. In hard times low pay would
rise by more than top pay if the minimum wage was linked to whichever
was highest of a number of indices – say inflation, average earnings,
90th percentile earnings or even 99th percentile after tax income.
Would this cost jobs? Hopefully not, as a study for the Low Pay
Commission showed that the lowest paying sectors were relatively
unscathed by the last recession. But the alternative is that the lowest
paid in society see their incomes fall in real terms; refusing to
up-rate to compensate for higher living costs is robbing Peter to pay
Paul.
Andy Harrop is a Fabian Society member. He is head of policy at Age
Concern England and was a Labour Party Candidate at the 2005 General
Election. He is writing in a personal capacity.
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